Social commentator Hunter Ash has issued a call for a new class of evaluators, dubbed "expert experts," to systematically assess and track the reliability of specialized knowledge. In a recent tweet, Ash emphasized the critical need for individuals capable of "identifying various measures of expertise and keeping track of how often experts are right." This statement underscores a growing concern about the validation of information in an increasingly complex and AI-driven world.
Ash, a writer and prominent X (formerly Twitter) commentator known by his handle @ArtemisConsort, brings a background in mathematics and physics to his observations on societal trends and technology. He is also the social media manager for Keeper, a scientific dating app that leverages psychometrics and data-driven insights. His work often explores the intersection of human behavior, data, and emerging technologies, providing a unique lens through which to view the challenges of modern information.
The concept of "expert experts" gains particular relevance in an era where both human and artificial intelligence contribute to a vast and often contradictory information landscape. As AI models become more sophisticated, their outputs require rigorous evaluation for accuracy, reliability, and potential biases. This mirrors the long-standing challenge of discerning credible human expertise amidst a proliferation of voices and predictions.
Recent studies on AI model evaluation highlight the complexity of assessing performance, utilizing metrics like precision, recall, and F1 scores to quantify accuracy. These evaluations often require continuous updates and human oversight, as demonstrated by research showing AI models in education needing constant refinement to align with evolving expert knowledge. Ash's call suggests a similar, structured approach for human experts, advocating for a transparent system that tracks their predictive success over time.
The implications of such a system extend beyond academic or technical fields, touching upon public trust and informed decision-making. By systematically measuring and publicizing the accuracy of expert predictions, society could foster greater accountability and enhance its ability to identify truly reliable sources of information, whether human or algorithmic. This initiative could pave the way for a more discerning approach to knowledge consumption in an age defined by rapid technological advancement and information overload.