Recent discussions among industry observers suggest a notable decline in public anticipation for a "Battery Day 2," as Tesla continues to focus on the scaling and refinement of its 4680 battery cell technology. Social media personality Warren Redlich, known for "Chasing Dreams 🇺🇸," encapsulated this sentiment in a recent tweet, stating, > "Apparently not that many people want a Battery Day 2." This indicates a shift in focus from future announcements to the tangible progress of previously unveiled innovations.
The original Battery Day in September 2020 saw Tesla introduce its ambitious 4680 tabless battery cells, promising significant improvements in energy density, range, and cost reduction, alongside the long-term goal of a $25,000 electric vehicle. However, the initial production of these cells, often referred to as Gen 1, faced challenges, including lower-than-expected yields and complexities in heat management.
Despite these hurdles, Tesla has made considerable strides in ramping up production of the 4680 cells, with reports confirming that over 1 million units have been produced at its pilot factory. The company is now reportedly developing a "4680 Gen 2" battery, which is expected to offer further enhancements, including increased energy capacity per cell and improved thermal performance. These advancements are crucial for the anticipated "million-mile battery" and the forthcoming affordable Model 2.
Tesla's strategy emphasizes vertical integration and in-house manufacturing. Production of the 4680 Gen 2 cells is central to operations at Giga Texas, with plans to achieve an annual output of over 100 GWh by 2026, sufficient to power millions of vehicles. The company is also investing in domestic supply chains, establishing lithium refining and cathode production facilities in the United States to reduce costs and mitigate supply chain risks.
This sustained effort in overcoming manufacturing complexities and achieving production milestones appears to be redirecting public and investor attention from speculative future events to the concrete realization of Tesla's battery ambitions. The focus has transitioned from grand announcements to the practical execution required to deliver on the promises of more affordable and long-lasting electric vehicles.