The Argument to Release Inaugural Survey on Political Polarization and Societal Speech

Washington, D.C. – Lakshya Jain, a co-founder of the prominent political forecasting website Split Ticket, announced that the first survey conducted for The Argument, a newly launched left-leaning media company, has completed its weighting process. The survey, which delves into how liberals and conservatives perceive speech in society, including the propensity to sever family ties over political disagreements, is slated for release this Thursday. It also tracks key political indicators such as former President Donald Trump's approval ratings and the generic ballot.

The Argument, which officially launched in August 2025, aims to champion a "positive, combative case for liberalism." Its partnership with Split Ticket, established earlier in August, positions Jain and his team to lead the media company's political and elections data coverage. This inaugural survey marks a significant step in The Argument's strategy to engage with and analyze contemporary political discourse through data-driven insights.

The survey's focus on speech and social division highlights a growing area of concern in American society. Previous research indicates a rising trend of political polarization influencing personal relationships and societal norms. The inclusion of questions regarding family estrangement due to political views underscores the depth of this division, moving beyond traditional political alignment to examine its impact on interpersonal dynamics.

In addition to its thematic exploration, the survey's inclusion of Trump approval and generic ballot tracking indicates its immediate relevance to the current political landscape. Split Ticket is known for its quantitative models and data analysis in election forecasting, often providing nuanced perspectives on voter behavior and electoral outcomes. Their collaboration with The Argument is expected to bring a rigorous, data-centric approach to the media company's content.

The upcoming release of these findings will provide valuable insights into the contemporary political climate, offering a detailed look at the ideological divides shaping public opinion and social interactions. Observers will be keen to analyze the data, particularly how it illuminates the complex interplay between political beliefs and personal relationships in an increasingly polarized nation.