Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan has reiterated the firm's conviction that Bitcoin will reach $200,000 by the end of 2025, a prediction he states is "still plainly in sight." This reaffirmation, highlighted in a recent CoinDesk tweet, comes as the cryptocurrency has recently achieved new all-time highs, demonstrating significant market momentum.
Hougan's optimistic forecast, initially part of Bitwise's "10 Crypto Predictions for 2025" released in December 2024, is largely underpinned by the accelerating institutional demand for Bitcoin. He emphasized that the sheer volume of institutional capital entering the market is a primary driver preventing prolonged price stagnation.
A key factor supporting this outlook is the substantial inflow into spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs). Year-to-date, these ETFs have attracted over $13.8 billion in net inflows, with some reports indicating over $15 billion, and $5.2 billion in the last 30 days alone. This influx signals a growing appetite from traditional financial players and major wealth platforms.
The supply-demand imbalance further strengthens Bitwise's prediction. Hougan noted that miners are expected to produce only about 165,000 BTC this year, a figure already surpassed by acquisitions from public companies and ETFs. This limited new supply, coupled with surging demand, creates a conducive environment for price appreciation.
Bitcoin has already shown considerable strength in 2025, hitting a new all-time high of $112,000 in May and recently flirting with the $118,000 mark. This performance aligns with Bitwise's long-term bullish stance, despite some mixed results for other crypto assets.
While confident in Bitcoin, Bitwise has tempered its expectations for Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL), expressing less certainty that they will reach new all-time highs in 2025. However, the firm remains optimistic about stablecoin assets and tokenized real-world assets, which are largely on track to meet their projected targets for the year.
Hougan's continued confidence in the $200,000 Bitcoin target underscores a belief that institutional adoption and a tightening supply will continue to drive the cryptocurrency's value. The firm anticipates that increasing regulatory clarity and the ongoing integration of crypto into mainstream finance will further solidify Bitcoin's position.