AOC Leads Schumer by 19 Points in Hypothetical 2028 New York Primary Poll

A recent poll indicates that Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY) holds a significant lead over Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) in a hypothetical 2028 Democratic primary for his Senate seat. Data for Progress, a progressive think tank, released findings showing Ocasio-Cortez ahead by 19 points, a margin that remained consistent even with additional voter information. This polling data has intensified ongoing speculation about a potential challenge to the long-serving senator.

The discussion around a primary challenge gained traction following Senator Schumer's decision to support a Republican-backed funding bill earlier this year, aimed at averting a government shutdown. This move drew considerable criticism from progressive factions within the Democratic Party, including Ocasio-Cortez, who described it as a "tremendous mistake." In response to inquiries about Ocasio-Cortez potentially challenging Schumer, Representative Ilhan Omar (D-MN) stated, "I would like Alex to do whatever Alex wants and I'll be there to support her," as shared on social media.

While Ocasio-Cortez has not formally announced a Senate bid, she has not ruled out the possibility, often emphasizing her current focus on legislative priorities. Her substantial fundraising capabilities, with an $11.8 million cash on hand at the end of the last quarter, position her as a formidable contender, although experts note a New York Senate race could require upwards of $100 million. The prospect of a primary has also been leveraged by Republicans, who have suggested Schumer's recent political actions are influenced by concerns over a challenge from the progressive left.

The poll, conducted from March 26-31, surveyed 767 likely Democratic primary voters in New York state. It highlights a growing dissatisfaction within the Democratic base, particularly concerning Schumer's leadership on certain issues. Despite the early stage, such polls contribute to the political narrative surrounding the future of New York's Senate representation and the evolving dynamics within the Democratic Party.