Geopolitical Strategist Velina Tchakarova Points to Europe's 'Low Bar for Success' in Future Global Dynamics

Geopolitical strategist Velina Tchakarova has voiced sharp criticism regarding Europe's perceived strategic limitations, highlighting what she describes as a "low bar for success" in navigating complex international relations. In a tweet dated August 14, 2025, Tchakarova specifically referenced a hypothetical scenario involving a future summit between former U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin in Alaska, lamenting Europe's inability to prevent such a high-level meeting. According to her, this situation exemplifies "Constructivism par excellence," suggesting an overreliance on theoretical frameworks rather than pragmatic power politics.

Velina Tchakarova, known for her extensive expertise in security and defense and as the founder of the geopolitical consultancy FACE, frequently analyzes global power dynamics, particularly concerning Russia, China, and Europe. Her commentary often critiques Europe's strategic autonomy and its approach to a rapidly evolving international system. This recent tweet underscores her ongoing concern that European foreign policy may be failing to adapt to a more realpolitik-driven global environment.

The prospect of a U.S.-Russia summit, especially under a potential second Trump presidency, has been a recurring source of anxiety for European leaders. Many in Europe fear that such direct engagements could bypass European interests or undermine transatlantic unity, particularly concerning ongoing conflicts and geopolitical tensions. Tchakarova's remarks resonate with broader European concerns about maintaining influence and agency on the global stage.

Her use of "Constructivism par excellence" implies that Europe's foreign policy might be overly rooted in normative ideals and a "rules-based international order," which, in her view, may prove ineffective against actors operating on different principles. This perspective suggests that Europe's adherence to certain theoretical constructs could be hindering its ability to exert practical influence and prevent undesirable geopolitical outcomes. Tchakarova advocates for a more robust and adaptable European strategic vision to navigate future challenges.