U.S. Crime Rates See Continued Decline in 2023 and 2024, FBI Reports Show

National crime statistics indicate a sustained downward trend in both violent and property offenses across the United States through 2023 and into 2024. This data provides context for statements from figures like Oakland activist Seneca Scott, who recently posted on social media, > "Crime is down........."

The Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) reported a 3.0% decrease in national violent crime in 2023 compared to 2022 estimates, followed by a further estimated 4.5% decrease in 2024. This trend follows a spike in certain crime categories during the COVID-19 pandemic. Murder rates, in particular, have seen significant reductions, with preliminary data for 2023 and 2024 suggesting substantial declines.

Property crime rates have also largely decreased, with the FBI noting a 2.4% drop in 2023. While motor vehicle theft saw an increase in 2023, it reversed course and showed a decline in 2024 and early 2025. The Council on Criminal Justice (CCJ) further supports these findings, reporting a 16% decrease in homicides in 2024 compared to 2023 across surveyed cities.

Despite these official figures, public perception often lags behind, with many Americans believing crime is on the rise. Surveys, such as those by Gallup, consistently show a majority of the public perceives an increase in national crime, even when data indicates the opposite. This disparity highlights a complex interplay between statistical realities, media coverage, and local experiences.

Seneca Scott, known for his advocacy on public safety in Oakland and a former mayoral candidate, has frequently highlighted crime concerns in his community. His recent tweet aligns with the broader national data indicating a reduction in crime, reflecting a shift from the heightened levels observed in the immediate post-pandemic period. The ongoing decline represents a significant development in national public safety trends.