Peter Deng, a General Partner at Felicis Ventures and former Vice President of Consumer at OpenAI, recently shared extensive insights on the evolving landscape of AI product strategy during a new "Unsupervised Learning" session. The discussion, highlighted in a tweet by Jacob Effron, delved into critical aspects shaping the future of artificial intelligence development and market dynamics. Deng's expertise is drawn from his significant product leadership roles at various technology giants, including his recent tenure leading the ChatGPT team at OpenAI.
Among the strategic points discussed by Deng were the emergence of new pricing models specifically tailored for AI products, signaling a departure from traditional software economics. He also emphasized how "evals" – evaluations of AI model performance – are increasingly becoming the new product specifications, underscoring a shift towards performance-driven development. Furthermore, Deng introduced the "AI under your fingernails" test, a metric for founders to assess the deep integration and utility of AI within their offerings.
Deng also provided his perspective on broader market trends, noting the inherent advantages held by foundation model companies in the current AI ecosystem. Crucially, he predicted that the consumer AI market is likely to fragment across multiple winners rather than consolidating under a few dominant players. The session also touched upon the future of product management in the age of AI, indicating a need for evolving skill sets and approaches, and included a discussion on OpenAI's unique organizational culture.
Peter Deng joined Felicis Ventures as a General Partner in early 2025, bringing a wealth of product leadership experience from his time at OpenAI, Meta (Facebook, Instagram, Messenger), Uber, and Airtable. Felicis Ventures, which recently closed its tenth fund at $900 million, has a strong focus on investing in AI-first companies. Deng's role at the firm involves identifying and supporting startups that leverage AI to rethink problems and improve both work and daily life.
These insights from Deng highlight a pivotal moment in the AI industry, where strategic foresight in product development, market positioning, and organizational culture will be paramount for success. His emphasis on fragmentation in consumer AI suggests a diverse future for user-facing applications, moving away from a winner-take-all scenario. The discussion serves as a valuable guide for founders and product leaders navigating the complexities of the rapidly advancing artificial intelligence domain.